Once a rising star, Gretchen Whitmer’s 2028 prospects dim

.

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer‘s (D-MI) suggestion this week that she is unlikely to join the growing field of Democrats eyeing the White House in 2028 amounted to a striking acknowledgment from a politician who, not long ago, was viewed as one of her party’s brightest rising stars.

Whitmer told FOX 2 Detroit that she would “not be one” of a “robust group of people running for president” in 2028, though she later tempered the comment by telling reporters, “Never say never.”

The remarks come as Whitmer’s standing within the Democratic Party has faded from the height of her national prominence during the COVID-19 pandemic, when she was considered a potential vice presidential pick and future presidential contender.

Political observers in Michigan say Whitmer’s fortunes changed after President Donald Trump’s return to office. Rather than positioning herself as one of the president’s loudest Democratic antagonists, Whitmer opted to work with the White House on issues affecting Michigan. The strategy has earned bipartisan praise at home, but left her increasingly outside the party’s national resistance movement.

“She hasn’t been doing political travel to the early primary states, or anything like that. She has not been engaging in the anti-Trump vitriol, at least not at a high-volume level,” Michigan Republican strategist Jamie Roe told the Washington Examiner.

“She’s actually worked with the president to accomplish some pretty good things for Michigan,” Roe added. “I think that takes you out of the national conversation, if you’re not totally in line with where the base of the party is right now.”

Whitmer was once considered among the Democratic Party’s most promising national figures.

The former state lawmaker and prosecutor became a household name during the COVID-19 pandemic after frequently clashing with Trump over his administration’s response to the outbreak. Trump helped elevate her profile further in March 2020 when he repeatedly referred to her dismissively as “the woman in Michigan.”

That visibility brought opportunities. Then-Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden vetted Whitmer as a possible running mate before ultimately selecting then-San Francisco District Attorney Kamala Harris.

Whitmer’s political standing increased further in 2022, when she won reelection by 10 percentage points and Democrats successfully made abortion rights a central issue after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade.

The governor’s national profile grew alongside the popularity of her “Big Gretch” nickname, fueling speculation that she could eventually seek the presidency herself.

But Whitmer’s political trajectory changed after Trump carried Michigan on his way back to the White House in 2024.

While several ambitious Democratic governors emerged as leading voices of opposition to the administration, Whitmer adopted a more conciliatory approach, emphasizing cooperation with the White House on issues affecting Michigan.

The political risk was underlined last April when she was photographed at the White House using a folder to shield her face from photographers. According to Whitmer, the president surprised her by opening up their Oval Office meeting regarding federal storm recovery funding to the press.

The image quickly became a symbol of Whitmer’s uneasy balancing act between working with Trump and maintaining credibility with Democratic activists.

“This is one of those moments where, as a public servant, you’re reminded your job is to put service above self, and that’s what it was all about,” Whitmer told Pod Save America after the incident.

For some political observers, Whitmer’s governing-first approach may have helped her at home while hurting her standing in a Democratic presidential primary increasingly shaped by opposition to Trump.

Former Michigan AFL-CIO President Mark Gaffney described a White House bid as “a big lift” given the prominence and resources of several potential Democratic contenders.

“She would make a great candidate for and be a great vice president,” he told the Washington Examiner.

Dennis Lennox, a Michigan Republican strategist, also questioned whether Whitmer could compete against a field that may include Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA), Gov. JB Pritzker (D-IL), Gov. Josh Shapiro (D-PA), and other well-funded contenders.

“I don’t see a clear lane for Whitmer in a crowded field of heavyweights,” he said.

Whitmer’s allies dispute the notion that her decision-making should be viewed through a presidential lens. Macomb County Democratic Committee Chairwoman Alysa Diebolt argued Whitmer has done “an excellent job for eight years in a rollercoaster of circumstances.”

“She deserves to take time to make such an important decision because running for president is not, like, a on-a-whim decision,” Diebolt told the Washington Examiner. “I think we need to focus on the 2026 election, and I think that Whitmer knows that the 2026 election is incredibly important for the future of not only Michigan, but our country.”

The race to replace Sen. Gary Peters (D-MI) in the Senate is one of three toss-ups that could decide the balance of power in the upper chamber, along with Maine and Ohio. Michigan is also home to competitive House races that could determine which party controls the lower chamber.

Jeffrey Grynaviski, a political science professor at Wayne State University in Detroit, said Whitmer’s posture is hardly unusual and that most prospective presidential candidates don’t make their intentions fully known until after the midterm elections.

“Michigan is in the midst of a bruising Democratic Senate primary between progressives and moderates,” Grynaviski told the Washington Examiner. “So far, Whitmer has followed a typical path for incumbent governors in cases like this, trying to stay out of the fray, but is probably being especially careful not to tie her political fortunes to the outcome of a Senate primary, or to link herself too closely to a particular ideological wing of her party.”

DEMOCRATS LASH OUT AT BIDENS AS FORMER FIRST LADY RELITIGATES THE PAST: ‘THEY SUCK’

If Whitmer ultimately passes on a White House bid, she may still wind up with the title of president — just not the one Democrats once imagined. While her comments this week suggested her path to the Oval Office may be narrowing, Michigan GOP strategist Jason Cabel Roe noted that Whitmer has recently been floated as a potential future president of Michigan State University, her alma mater.

“She is very loyal to Michigan State, and that is a great paycheck and she gets to stay in her hometown. So it wouldn’t surprise me if that came together,” he told the Washington Examiner.

Related Content