Well over $500 million were bet on the 2020 election, and that number has surged in 2024. Just under two weeks out, more than $2.3 billion have been bet on the 2024 presidential election on Polymarket alone. This raises the question: What is election betting, and do betting odds reflect actual probability? Maxim Lott, founder […]

A federal judge ordered Virginia on Friday to restore voter registration rolls for just over 1,600 people who were removed under Gov. Glenn Youngkin‘s (R-VA) executive order aimed to disqualify noncitizens from participating in the election. U.S. District Judge Patricia Giles, an appointee of President Joe Biden, signaled how she would rule during an all-day […]

Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are now tied in national polls, as the latter’s lead has been completely erased in October. The final New York Times poll of the presidential contest found the two candidates tied nationally, a worrying sign for Harris, who held a three-point edge in the previous poll […]

A federal appeals court has upheld significant portions of New York gun control laws, including restrictions on carrying firearms in areas the state has deemed “sensitive,” such as schools, hospitals, and public transportation. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit on Thursday reaffirmed provisions of the Concealed Carry Improvement Act, which New York passed […]