Racial political realignment is happening right before your eyes
Zachary Faria
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The Democratic Party’s racial obsession may mask it, but you are seeing a shift in the political realignment of racial demographics right before your very eyes.
This was observed on Tuesday by Aaron Blake, who noticed that former President Donald Trump is “performing historically well among black and Hispanic voters” in head-to-head polling with President Joe Biden. The ongoing shift in voting patterns among Hispanics, particularly in Florida and Texas, has been well documented, but Trump is averaging 20% among black voters, which would be a massive shift. As Blake notes, no GOP presidential candidate has hit that mark in the past 60 years.
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But Trump is not the only one pulling these numbers. Fox News found that each of the following candidates is pulling around 20% of black voters in a head-to-head match-up with Biden: Trump (21%), Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) (21%), former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley (21%), Vivek Ramaswamy (22%), former Vice President Mike Pence (18%), and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (21%). Along with them, Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) is pulling 15%.
The shift is notable, but it is also not a surprise. Black men in particular have been shifting to the GOP over the last four presidential cycles, from 5% voting for John McCain in 2008 to 11% backing Mitt Romney in 2012. Trump won 13% of black men in 2016 and then 18% in 2020, and Republicans won 17% of black men in the 2022 midterm elections.
As a whole, 12% of black voters backed Trump in 2020 and 13% backed Republicans in 2022. Sure, it may be a large jump from 13% to around 20% in one election cycle, but given the current economic conditions and Biden’s disapproval ratings, along with this ongoing shift, it would not be a surprise in the least.
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That is, in part, why you see so many Democrats so rabid in their racial obsession. After Florida and Texas Republicans performed well among Hispanics, some Democrats resorted to accusing those Hispanics of being brainwashed fools. Losing their grip on their racial grievance politics would be devastating for the Democratic Party, especially if black voters continue to trend toward being a more competitive demographic for Republicans.
This shift has been occurring over the past decade and a half, and it will only become more noticeable as more and more liberals such as Blake continue to discover it. It will also be a welcome challenge to the Democratic Party’s racial pandering. Regardless of what replaces it, our politics will be better if the changing political and racial dynamics erase the racial obsession that has dominated our politics for the last 15 years.