Trump’s tariffs and the US Steel merger are investments in American industry

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President Donald Trump‘s recent imposition of tariffs has ignited debates over their costs and benefits. While these tariffs have created uncertainty for consumers, businesses, and governments, they can also serve as protection against predatory trade practices from competitors such as China.

Among the most significant sector-specific tariffs, Trump imposed a 25% duty on all steel and aluminum imports on March 12. In contrast to his first term, the president has provided no exclusions for U.S. companies that rely on foreign steel and aluminum.

These tariffs align with the president’s long-standing commitment to revitalizing domestic steel and aluminum production. As Trump said in his March 5 address to Congress, “We are bringing back our steel and aluminum industries to ensure American self-reliance and economic strength.” Although this move has elicited retaliatory measures from allies such as the European Union and Canada, American steel and aluminum manufacturers facing global competition now have new opportunities to revamp operations, regain market share, and improve their competitiveness in the long run.

Against this backdrop, Nippon Steel’s long-standing proposal to acquire U.S. Steel presents a significant opportunity for the United States. The Japanese firm plans to invest in upgrading U.S. Steel’s operations by integrating advanced proprietary technologies, aiming to enhance profitability while securing jobs across its American facilities. This investment would strengthen the U.S. steel industry’s global competitiveness, reinforce domestic steel production in line with Trump’s objectives, and signal America’s commitment to Japan — its most important ally in the Indo-Pacific.

However, Trump has opposed the acquisition and suggested instead that Nippon Steel invest without obtaining an ownership stake. This stance overlooks a critical business reality: companies are unlikely to share cutting-edge technologies without ownership control, as doing so would empower a competitor. By blocking this acquisition, the administration risks missing out on technological advancements and capital inflows that could rejuvenate the domestic steel sector.

Meanwhile, Trump recently described the U.S.-Japan alliance as “unequal” and suggested Japan benefits more from the relationship than the U.S. Such comments risk straining ties with a key ally at a time when collaboration is essential to counter China’s growing influence, including in steel production, which is an industry that China dominates.

Japan has shown a willingness to enhance its defense capabilities in response to U.S. calls for increased defense spending. However, sustaining this momentum requires assurance of America’s commitment to the alliance. Allowing the Nippon Steel-U.S. Steel deal to proceed would not only strengthen economic ties but also reaffirm America’s dedication to mutual prosperity and security in an industry vital to the defense industrial base.

Trump’s recent tariff announcements have already had tangible economic impacts. Businesses are facing increased costs and supply chain disruptions, which complicate pricing and project planning. Manufacturers reliant on steel and aluminum are preparing for higher product prices and potential job losses as the tariffs take effect.

Nippon Steel’s planned investments in U.S. Steel could help mitigate some of the negative effects of the tariffs. For example, the company pledged to invest at least a billion dollars in U.S. Steel’s Mon Valley Works facilities in Pennsylvania. This investment would modernize, streamline, and improve the productivity of these aging facilities, potentially lowering steel production costs and offsetting some of the price hikes caused by the tariffs. Furthermore, the combined company would enhance U.S. competitiveness against China’s dominant steelmakers.

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While revitalizing American industry is a worthy goal, relying solely on broad and unpredictable tariffs creates uncertainty. A strategic reassessment is needed to balance national interests with global economic realities. Allowing the Nippon Steel-U.S. Steel acquisition to proceed would serve as a constructive step in this direction. Such a move would signal a commitment to collaborative growth and stability, fostering an environment conducive to both economic prosperity and geopolitical harmony. Moreover, regardless of the effectiveness of the steel and aluminum tariffs on increasing American self-reliance in these industries, they will not replace the investments and resources that Nippon Steel would bring to U.S. manufacturing.

Navigating the complexities of international trade requires measured and consistent policies that consider both domestic priorities and global partnerships. Striking this balance is crucial to advancing America’s economic and strategic interests without alienating allies or destabilizing global markets.

Daniel Bob has worked on U.S. economic and foreign policy toward the Indo-Pacific in senior positions in the Senate and House.

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