A quick glance at the X feeds of both presidential campaigns indicates that both camps believe that Vice President Kamala Harris’s interview with Bret Baier on Fox News Wednesday was a home run for their side.
The KamalaHQ account, which shares video clips supporting the Harris campaign’s narrative, was awash with clips of liberal cable news pundits singing Harris’s praises and proclaiming that it was among the best interviews she had ever done.
On the flip side, the campaign of former President Donald Trump was eager to proclaim the vice president’s first-ever sit-down interview with Fox News to be an utter disaster and clear evidence as to why she has eschewed media interviews throughout the majority of the campaign.
The cheekiest post came from the Trump War Room account, which simply posted the entirety of the interview with the caption, “OUR NEWEST AD JUST DROPPED.”
The interview came less than three weeks until Election Day, when millions of people have already voted and polling consistently shows that Harris and Trump are deadlocked in a tight race for the Electoral College. Furthermore, Harris is underperforming among key demographics such as black and Hispanic groups that Democratic candidates rely on to win elections.
But regardless of how either campaign wants to spin the interview, the truth is that at this late stage of the campaign, it will not change the state of the race in any meaningful way. It will not push more Trump-skeptical Republicans toward Harris, and it will not push voters concerned about immigration and inflation toward Trump.
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Since September, the race has remained remarkably stable. In the RealClearPolitics average of polls, Harris currently has a national lead of 1.5% and is faring worse in the critical swing states of Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia. That result is largely unchanged from the beginning of September, when Harris held a national lead of a little less than two points.
At this stage in this exhausting campaign, most voters have made up their minds, and the real question is whether they will show up to vote or not. A “high-stakes interview” with one candidate that confirms each campaign’s priors and wasn’t seen by the vast majority of voters will not change that fact.