Voters across 16 states and one U.S. territory are heading to the polls on Tuesday for what is set to be the biggest primary election night of the 2024 cycle.
The elections are expected to all but determine who the candidates will be for both Republicans and Democrats, with about one-third of the delegates at stake on Super Tuesday night. Republican candidates former President Donald Trump and former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley have 854 delegates up for grabs, with 1,420 in play for Democrats.
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Although President Joe Biden is leading his Democratic challengers, he won’t quite meet the 1,215-delegate threshold needed to clinch his party’s nomination by the end of Super Tuesday. The earliest he can be named nominee is March 19, according to projections by the Associated Press.
The top race to watch on Tuesday is the matchup between Trump and Haley as the latter seeks to thwart the former president’s momentum as he looks to secure the GOP nomination. However, the earliest Trump could secure the GOP nomination is March 12, as not enough delegates are at play on Tuesday to put him over the threshold to be the presumptive nominee. Trump is poised to win most, if not all, states up for grabs on Tuesday, which could deal a fatal blow to Haley’s long-shot bid.
All eyes will be on Haley in the aftermath of Super Tuesday to determine whether she’ll drop her campaign.
Here are the races to keep an eye on as polls begin to close at 6 p.m. ET:
Iowa
Results:
President Joe Biden won the Iowa caucuses, handily defeating challengers Rep. Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson. Only Democrats are voting in Iowa on Tuesday after Republicans held their first-in-the-nation caucuses last month.
The Associated Press called the race in Biden’s favor at 5:50 p.m. Biden led with 90.9% with about 46% of the vote counted.
Democrats have been voting by mail in the primary election in a process that started in January after the Democratic National Committee removed Iowa as the first nominating state. Republicans previously hosted the party’s first-in-the-nation caucuses in the Hawkeye State last month.
Voting closed at 6 p.m. Eastern time
Delegates at stake: 40
What to know: The ballot also features an “uncommitted” option, which some Democratic voters have used to protest Biden’s policies regarding the Israel war. When the race was called, that option had garnered 3.8% of the vote, ahead of both Phillips and Williamson.
Check back in for updates.
Vermont
Both Democrats and Republicans will cast their ballots in Vermont’s primary on Tuesday.
Polls close: 7 p.m. ET
Delegates at stake: 16 for Democrats, 17 for Republicans
What to watch: Because Vermont does not require voters to register by party, turnout could favor Haley if Democrats and independents choose to boost her bid against Trump.
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Virginia
Both Democrats and Republicans will cast their ballots in Virginia’s primary on Tuesday.
Polls close: 7 p.m. ET
Delegates at stake: 99 for Democrats, 48 for Republicans
What to watch: Virginia also could provide a boost for Haley as the state does not have party registration, meaning Democratic voters could opt to vote in the GOP primary instead. Much of Haley’s best performances have come in areas where Democrats have voted for her in the Republican primary. Virginia could be the indicator of whether Haley will have a strong performance nationwide on Super Tuesday.
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North Carolina
Both Democrats and Republicans will cast their ballots in Vermont’s primary on Tuesday.
Polls close: 7:30 p.m. ET
Delegates at stake: 116 for Democrats, 74 for Republicans
What to watch: Voters in North Carolina will not only be weighing in on the presidential race but also will have a number of down-ballot races to decide.
The primary for the governor’s race will be held on Tuesday as voters pick which candidates will advance to the November ballot to replace Gov. Roy Cooper (D-NC), who is stepping down due to term limits.
The most high-profile congressional primary is set to take place in North Carolina’s 1st District, which has been transformed into a swing district after the state enacted new congressional maps earlier this year. That puts incumbent Rep. Don Davis (D-NC) in a vulnerable spot as he seeks reelection in November.
Voters also will weigh in on the attorney general’s race, which could feature a head-to-head matchup between Reps. Dan Bishop (R-NC) and Jeff Jackson (D-NC), who both opted not to run for reelection to run for the statewide position. Jackson chose not to run again after the new maps made his district much more favorable to Republicans.
Other races on the ballot are the open seats for retiring Reps. Wiley Nickel (D-NC), Kathy Manning (D-NC), and Patrick McHenry (R-NC).
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Alabama
Both Democrats and Republicans will cast their ballots in Alabama’s primary on Tuesday.
Polls close: 8 p.m. ET
Delegates at stake: 52 for Democrats, 50 for Republicans
What to watch: Alabama also will be holding primaries for all of its House races, marking the first election since the state implemented its new congressional map.
One of the most high-profile races will be in the 1st District between Reps. Barry Moore (R-AL) and Jerry Carl (R-AL) after Moore’s hometown in the 2nd District was shifted into Carl’s district under the new maps to meet the requirement of a second majority-black district. Super Tuesday will end one of the representatives’ runs in Congress.
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Maine
Both Democrats and Republicans will cast their ballots in Maine’s primary on Tuesday.
Polls close: 8 p.m. ET
Delegates at stake: 24 for Democrats, 20 for Republicans
What to watch: Maine will be experimenting with ranked choice voting in its primary election this year, by which lower-performing candidates are dropped from results, and their voters’ second choices are added to tabulations until the top candidate surpasses 50% and is declared the winner. Ranked choice ballots offer voters the chance to pick second and third choices.
There also could be some confusion regarding Trump’s ballot status when voters head to the polls on Tuesday. Maine’s secretary of state initially ruled the former president be barred from the ballot, a decision that was nullified by the Supreme Court earlier this week. If that affects turnout, it could mean Haley has an opening in the Pine Tree State.
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Massachusetts
Both Democrats and Republicans will cast their ballots in Massachusetts’s primary on Tuesday.
Polls close: 8 p.m. ET
Delegates at stake: 91 for Democrats, 40 for Republicans
What to watch: Trump could win big in Massachusetts as the state operates by a winner-takes-all system, meaning he could sweep all of the state’s available delegates if he secures over 50% of the vote.
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Oklahoma
Both Democrats and Republicans will cast their ballots in Oklahoma’s primary on Tuesday.
Polls close: 8 p.m. ET
Delegates at stake: 36 for Democrats, 43 for Republicans
What to watch: Oklahoma is expected to be a straightforward primary night as only the presidential races are on the ballot. Republicans will hold a closed primary for only GOP voters, whereas both registered Democrats and independents can vote in the Democratic primary.
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Tennessee
Both Democrats and Republicans will cast their ballots in Tennessee’s primary on Tuesday.
Polls close: 8 p.m. ET
Delegates at stake: 63 for Democrats, 58 for Republicans
What to watch: Trump is expected to pick up Tennessee’s delegates easily, although registered voters are permitted to cast their ballots in either primary — which could give a slight boost to Haley. No congressional or statewide primaries are at stake on Tuesday.
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Texas
Both Democrats and Republicans will cast their ballots in Texas’s primary on Tuesday.
Polls close: 8 p.m. and 9 p.m. ET
Delegates at stake: 244 for Democrats, 161 for Republicans
What to watch: One of the most high-profile races of the night is the Senate primary race as Democrats determine who will face Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) in November. Rep. Colin Allred (D-TX) leads a crowded field of Democratic candidates, and a runoff will ensue if no candidate can win at least 50% of the vote.
All other House primaries are being held on Tuesday as well, including those to fill the open seats of Allred and Reps. Kay Granger (R-TX) in the 12th District and Michael Burgess (R-TX) in the 26th District.
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Arkansas
Both Democrats and Republicans will cast their ballots in Arkansas’s primary on Tuesday.
Polls close: 8:30 p.m. ET
Delegates at stake: 31 for Democrats, 40 for Republicans
What to watch: The primary elections for Arkansas’s four congressional seats are on the ballot on Tuesday. The most competitive of those is expected to be between Rep. Steve Womack (R-AR), who is facing a challenge from state Sen. Clint Penzo.
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Colorado
Both Democrats and Republicans will cast their ballots in Colorado’s primary on Tuesday.
Polls close: 9 p.m. ET
Delegates at stake: 72 for Democrats, 37 for Republicans
What to watch: Trump secured a major win in Colorado earlier this week after the Supreme Court of the United States ruled in favor of the former president to be listed on the ballot. The state Supreme Court had previously ruled he was ineligible.
It’s not yet clear whether that reversal will spur turnout for Trump or if it could result in confusion on his ballot status that could give an opening to Haley.
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Minnesota
Both Democrats and Republicans will cast their ballots in Minnesota’s primary on Tuesday.
Polls close: 9 p.m. ET
Delegates at stake: 75 for Democrats, 39 for Republicans
What to watch: Minnesota is the home state of Democratic candidate Dean Phillips, who has failed to make much headway in his primary challenge against Biden thus far. Losing here could result in Phillips dropping out shortly after the race is called.
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Utah
Both Democrats and Republicans will cast their ballots in Utah’s primary on Tuesday. Republicans will do theirs through caucuses.
Polls close: 10 p.m. ET for Democrats, 11 p.m. ET for Republicans
Delegates at stake: 30 for Democrats, 40 for Republicans
What to watch: Attendance at GOP caucuses could be affected after a mass text was mistakenly sent to voters saying the caucuses were canceled. The party will host primary preference polls at caucus sites beginning at 9 p.m.
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California
Both Democrats and Republicans will cast their ballots in California’s primary on Tuesday.
Polls close: 11 p.m. ET
Delegates at stake: 424 for Democrats, 169 for Republicans
What to watch: California has a lion’s share of the delegates up for grabs for candidates on Tuesday, making the race one of the most closely watched of the evening. Both Biden and Trump are expected to make big gains in their respective primaries.
All eyes will also be on the Senate primary race to replace the late Sen. Dianne Feinstein next year. Three House Democrats are on the ballot: Reps. Adam Schiff (D-CA), Katie Porter (D-CA), and Barbara Lee (D-CA). The two candidates with the most votes will advance to the November ballot.
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Alaska
Only Republicans will cast their ballots in Alaska’s caucuses on Tuesday.
Polls close: Midnight ET on Wednesday
Delegates at stake: 29
What to watch: Haley was given a boost in Alaska after Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) endorsed her candidacy last week. Any candidate who garners more than 13% of the vote is eligible for delegates, meaning Haley has some pickup opportunity here.
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