DeSantis leads Trump by double digits in key states, conservative polling memo shows
Asher Notheis
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Polls conducted for a prominent conservative organization show Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) boasting a large lead over former President Donald Trump in hypothetical one-on-one matches in several key states.
A polling memo from WPA Intelligence, which performed the surveys on behalf of Club for Growth Action, found Trump trailing DeSantis by double digits in the Iowa caucus, New Hampshire primary, Florida primary, and Georgia primary.
The biggest leads for DeSantis are in Florida, with 56% compared to Trump’s 30%, and in Georgia, at 55% against Trump’s 35%. In all four states, the numbers have only gotten better for DeSantis, while support for Trump has waned.
“Republicans need to be united behind a strong candidate and a platform that shows voters real solutions to beat Biden and the Democrats in 2024,” said a statement from Club for Growth President David McIntosh. “Our polling shows that Republican primary voters recognize Trump’s insults against Republicans as hollow and counterproductive, and it’s taking a significant toll on his support.”
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Iowa and New Hampshire stand out as the early voting states, while Florida is where both men now reside, and Georgia is the location of a coming Georgia run-off election between Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker and incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA). in Georgia, Trump “could help Republicans” by delaying an announcement for the 2024 election until afterwards, McIntosh told the Washington Examiner.
The polls were conducted among 508 likely Iowa Republican caucus voters, 401 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters, 1,044 likely Florida Republican primary voters, and 843 likely Georgia Republican primary voters. The data was collected from Nov. 11 through Nov. 13, and the margins of error were 4.4 percentage points for Iowa, 4.9 points for New Hampshire, 3 points for Florida, and 3.4 points for Georgia.
Trump is slated to make an announcement from his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida on Tuesday night, and it is widely expected that this will be his declaration of a 2024 presidential bid. President Joe Biden, who beat Trump in the 2020 presidential election, has not announced a reelection bid but has said he intends to run again.
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DeSantis, who just handily won reelection as Florida governor, has not made any announcement about the 2024 presidential election but is seen by many as a top contender if he does. Several people close to Trump have stated that DeSantis should not run for president in 2024.
A spokesman for Trump issued a defiant statement in response to the polling. Taylor Budowich, who heads MAGA, Inc., said polling from the Club for Growth is “consistently wrong” and insisted, “When they cross Trump, they lose, and that’s not going to change,” according to Politico.