California Dreamin’: The pathway for the House majority runs through these uncalled districts
Jack Birle
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Nearly a week after the midterm election, the party in the majority in the House of Representatives is still unknown as votes continue to be counted in various states.
California has the most House races yet to be called, with 12 of the 20 outstanding seats residing in the Golden State. Democrats are guaranteed to win one of them, California’s 34th District, with a Democrat vs. Democrat matchup. The other states with outstanding races include Alaska, Arizona, Colorado, Maine, New York, and Oregon.
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Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report, in his analysis of the remaining races, said Democrats would need a “miracle” to win the majority in the House in a tweet Sunday evening.
Republicans are leading or expected to gain enough votes in enough of the races to get above the 218-seat threshold to have a majority in the House of Representatives.
Here are the races yet to be called by the Associated Press and where they stand, per Wasserman’s analysis:
Alaska At-Large: Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola leads Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich in a race that will be determined by ranked choice voting later this month. Democrats are favored to hold this seat.
Arizona 1st District: Rep. David Schweikert (R) currently leads Jevin Hodge by nearly 900 votes, with 94% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Republican.
Arizona 6th District: Republican Juan Ciscomani leads Democrat Kirsten Engel by roughly 1,700 votes, with 89% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Republican.
California 3rd District: Republican Kevin Kiley leads Democrat Kermit Jones by roughly 10,000 votes, with 52% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Republican.
California 6th District: Democrat Ami Bera leads Republican Tamika Hamilton by 11,000 votes, with 52% of the vote counted. This race appears to be favoring the Democrat.
California 9th District: Democratic Rep. Josh Harder leads Republican Tom Patti by roughly 10,000 votes, with 47% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Democrat.
California 13th District: Republican John Duarte leads Democrat Adam Gray by roughly 80 votes, with 61% of the vote counted. It is unclear who currently has the edge in the remaining vote.
California 21st District: Democrat Jim Costa leads Republican Michael Maher by roughly 7,000 votes, with 75% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Democrat.
California 22nd District: Republican Rep. David Valadao leads Rudy Salas by roughly 3,000 votes, with 53% of the vote counted. It is unclear who currently has the edge in the remaining vote.
California 27th District: Republican Rep. Mike Garcia currently leads Democrat Christy Smith by roughly 15,000 votes, with 67% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Republican.
California 34th District: Democratic Rep. Jimmy Gomez leads fellow Democrat David Kim by roughly 5,000 votes, with 67% of the vote counted. Regardless of which candidate wins, this will be a Democratic hold.
California 41st District: Republican Rep. Ken Calvert leads Democrat Will Rollins by 4,000 votes, with 74% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Republican.
California 45th District: Republican Rep. Michelle Steel leads Democrat Jay Chen by 12,000 votes, with 70% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Republican.
California 47th District: Democratic Rep. Katie Porter leads Republican Scott Baugh by roughly 5,000 votes, with 71% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Democrat.
California 49th District: Democratic Rep. Mike Levin leads Republican Brian Maryott by 13,000 votes, with 79% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Democrat.
Colorado 3rd District: Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert leads Democrat Adam Frisch by 1,122 votes, with 98% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Republican but is much closer than originally anticipated.
Colorado 8th District: Democrat Yadira Caraveo leads Republican Barbara Kirkmeyer by 1,691 votes, with 98% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Democrat.
Maine 2nd District: Democratic Rep. Jared Golden leads Republican Bruce Poliquin by roughly 10,000 votes, with 98% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Democrat.
New York 22nd District: Republican Brandon Williams leads Democrat Francis Conole by roughly 4,000 votes, with 97% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Republican.
Oregon 6th District: Democrat Andrea Salinas leads Republican Mike Erickson by roughly 4,000 votes, with 85% of the vote counted. This race appears to favor the Democrat.
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Republicans only need to win six of the remaining races to gain control of the House, but if the margin of majority is slim, it may be hard for the GOP to govern effectively.