Biden’s incompetence is burying the Democratic myth of demographic destiny

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Joe Biden
FILE – President Joe Biden answers a reporter’s question as he walks from Marine One upon arrival on the South Lawn of the White House, Dec. 20, 2023, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File) Alex Brandon/AP

Biden’s incompetence is burying the Democratic myth of demographic destiny

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Democrats claimed for years that racial determinism would control our politics and lead to unbeatable Democratic majorities as the country became less white. It was always an absurd idea, and President Joe Biden is now burying it with his unpopularity.

A USA Today/Suffolk University poll has Biden’s support among black voters sitting at just 63%, a huge drop from the 87% who voted for him in 2020. Those voters aren’t going to former President Donald Trump, either, who is pulling the same number, 12%, he won in 2020 in a hypothetical matchup. Instead, that drop can be attributed to the 1 in 5 black voters who are backing an unnamed third-party candidate.

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The same is true with Hispanic voters. Biden won 65% in 2020 but enjoys just 34% support from that group now. Trump has only ticked up from 32% in 2020 to 39% now. The pattern is thus far the same: Minority voters aren’t enthusiastic about voting for Trump, but they don’t like Biden, either.

None of this guarantees Republican victories, of course. Biden was polling similarly poorly in 2022 ahead of the midterm elections, but Trump’s toxic brand dragged Republicans down when it came time to cast those votes. There is nothing to suggest that trend has changed, though Republicans could change it by nominating a candidate who isn’t as electorally toxic as Trump.

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But it is yet another reminder that Democrats do not own racial voting demographics simply by virtue of skin color. The Biden administration has made racial pandering its primary focus, whether that be by Biden imposing racial quotas on his Cabinet or crafting every policy around “equity” and the party’s racial obsession. Despite all of this, Biden’s approval rating among black and Hispanic voters continues to drop because his pandering is transparent and his administration is utterly incompetent.

Democrats have continued and will continue to ramp up their racial obsession to cling to their dreams of demographic destiny, but the illusion is falling apart in front of their eyes. Biden’s incompetence has made it clear that black and Hispanic voters won’t simply back Democrats because of their race. Those voters are available to Republicans if Republicans put in the work of winning them over.

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