Washington Examiner chief political correspondent Byron York said “significant polling” showing apathy for impeaching President Donald Trump could deter a third attempt by the Democratic Party, but said there is a “pretty good bet” it could still happen.
Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) have warned that the Democratic Party will seek to impeach the president again if Republicans fail to keep control of the House. York said he finds it “hard to believe” that Democrats will not try to impeach Trump again if they win the 2026 midterm elections, citing how they impeached Trump twice during his first term.
“I think the only thing that could prevent Democrats from impeaching Trump is if they have some significant polling showing that the public has kind of a ‘been there, done that’ attitude toward impeachment, and would rather see Democrats actually work with the president than just fight him all of the time,” York said Sunday on Fox News’s Fox Report with Jon Scott.
“Other than that, I think it’s a pretty good bet that they will impeach him, and of course, that’s what President Trump himself said at a campaign event not that long ago,” York said.
York said the “big challenge” for Trump and Republicans ahead of November will be how the president’s party almost always loses seats in the midterm elections. He added that the 1998 and 2002 elections were exceptions over the last 100 years, but “historically,” Trump’s chances of retaining the House are not great, noting that he lost 40 House seats in 2018.
York said the president’s job approval rating is also a “big indicator” for how the midterm elections will pan out. Trump’s approval rating has “never” peaked over 50% “for very long,” York said, adding that Trump is sitting at the “low to mid-40s.”
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Earlier this month, York expressed skepticism over the Trump administration’s capture of former Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro, saying everyone was talking about Venezuela shortly after Trump said he would focus on the economy. He also said voters generally do not care about foreign policy unless the United States is directly involved in conflicts.
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) previewed on Thursday how the Democratic Party will frame housing as the starting point for its broader affordability push. Schumer cited the bipartisan ROAD to Housing Act, accusing House Republicans of blocking it and saying Trump has not intervened to move it forward.