Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are now tied in national polls, as the latter’s lead has been completely erased in October.
The final New York Times poll of the presidential contest found the two candidates tied nationally, a worrying sign for Harris, who held a three-point edge in the previous poll in early October.
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“The result, coming less than two weeks before election day, and as millions of Americans have already voted, is not encouraging for Ms. Harris,” the outlet wrote about the survey’s implications.
It’s not just this poll. Harris held a 2.2-point national lead in the RealClearPolitics polling average as recently as Oct. 4. That average now also has the race tied, with polls released this week by the Wall Street Journal and CNBC showing Trump ahead nationally.
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However, Trump is projecting supreme confidence in the campaign’s final days.
“We’re leading by a lot in Nevada. We’re leading by a lot in Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, even states that are typically never in play,” Trump boasted to the crowd while campaigning in Las Vegas. “Big states are all in play.”
Trump has even said he’s going to win the blue state of Colorado.
The truth is a little more nuanced. Very few swing state polls have shown either candidate with a lead outside the margin of error. A recent Colorado poll done by Keating Research found Harris ahead in that state by 11 points.
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“I’m not supposed to say that,” Trump said about his own bragging. “They’re afraid that if you hear that, they’re not going to vote. I said, ‘Well, it’s a double-edged sword. You know, we’re leading by a lot.’”
Both candidates and their surrogates are crisscrossing the nation in a sprint to the finish line, with Harris hoping to stem the bleeding and make her case before the final day of voting on Nov. 5.